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Markets,
Crypto and Culture
Running
Of The Bulls To Normal; Cryptos Hurting; All That
Glitters ...
October
15/16, 2025
Sin
City Sydney, Australia
ASX
futures up 5 points/0.1%, at 9024
Wall
Street:
S&P 500 +0.4%
Dow Jones: flat
Nasdaq +0.7%
Europe:
Stoxx 50 +1%
FTSE -0.3%
DAX -0.2%
CAC +2%
Australian
dollar: US65.06 cents
Bitcoin
-1.6% to $US111,106
Gold
+1.5% to $US4227.10 per ounce
Oil
+0.1% to $US58.78 a barrel
Brent
crude oil +0.1% to $US62.45 a barrel
Iron
ore -0.3% to $US104.90 per ton
10-year
yield:
US 4.03%
Australia 4.21%
Germany 2.57%
News
Update: (Near Live)
Bitcoin:
New
York/Wall St
Cryptos
Today: (Near Live) Mood: Corrective! Salt Into The
Wound In Checkers?! Or Salt Of The Earth In Metals
Right Chess Move?! All That Glitters Not Digital Gold?!
Bitcoin
$111,291.65 -1.77%
Ethereum $3,980.33 -3.44%
Tether $1.0005 -0.03%
Binance Coin $1,161.17 -3.98%
XRP $2.4129 -3.48%
Solana $194.13 -3.71%
TRON $0.3194 +0.85%
Dogecoin -$0.1961 -4.15%
Cardano $0.6677 -4.14%
Market
corrective. Mood: Somber-like for many! Suspicious!
Regaining smiles! Hardcores keep the dream!
Media
Man Favs:
October
15, 2025 (Near Live)
Wall St, New York
TKO
Group Holdings Inc $191.21 +1.18 +0.62%
NVIDIA Corp $179.83 -0.18 -0.099%
Formula One Group Series C $103.57 -0.15 -0.14%
Alphabet Inc Class A $251.03 +5.58 +2.27%
News Corp Class A $26.57 -0.070 -0.26%
Netflix Inc $1,203.29 -12.06 -0.99%
Caterpillar Inc $534.05 +6.58 +1.25%
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp $16.27
-0.010 -0.061%
Tesla Inc $435.15 +5.91 +1.38%
Walt Disney Co $111.71 +0.54 +0.49%
Wynn Resorts Ltd $118.07 +1.96 +1.69%
Meta Platforms Inc $717.55 +8.90 +1.26%
BHP Group Ltd $43.54
Mercedes Benz Group ADR $15.15 +0.040 +0.26%
Elders Ltd $7.50
Rio Tinto Ltd $129.69
News
The
dollar prefers to stay within the range for now
The
US dollar turned downward at the end of the day on
Tuesday and continues to move downward in the first
half of Wednesday. The dollar is being weighed down
by the recovery of positive momentum in the stock
markets. Pressure on the dollar can also be linked
to Powell's latest comments yesterday evening. The
Fed chairman confirmed the path to further rate cuts
and said asset sales from the balance sheet could
be halted soon, ending the quantitative tightening
phase. To be cont ..
(FxPro)
News
The
US stock market rebound may falter
US
stock index futures are rising after a disastrous
Friday, when Trump's aggressive response to China's
tariffs shook the markets. The US president's announcements
were carefully timed, with the most aggressive measures
(additional 100% tariffs on Chinese goods) announced
after the market closed.
Over
the weekend, US and Chinese leaders appeared to reach
out to each other, offering opportunities for further
discussion and a deal. Market sentiment was close
to extreme fear, with the Fear and Greed Index falling
to 29 on Friday and recovering to 30 on Monday. These
are the lowest values since the end of April, when
the market was recovering from the liberation
day effect on Trump's tariffs. In the last couple
of years, this index has entered the extreme fear
zone before we saw a reversal in the indices. This
means that bears may exert another round of pressure
on the markets. It is easy to link this to further
toughening of mutual rhetoric between China and the
US, albeit with the possibility of dialogue remaining
open. In other words, in this case, it is worth talking
about a decrease in the intensity of mutual recriminations,
but not about a reversal in relations. From this,
we can conclude that the risks that caused the markets
to collapse on Friday remain. We also note that the
S&P 500 is trading at a significant distance from
its 200-week moving average, near which the market
has ended its declines over the past 14 years since
2011, touching it or turning around within 2-5% of
it. This contrasts sharply with the current situation,
where the S&P 500 is almost 25% above this line.
If we talk about a correction within a bull market,
then the target for bears seems to be the 61006150
range, where the 50-week moving average and last winter's
highs are concentrated. Movement in this direction
looks like a viable strategy for the final quarter
of the year, unless there is a real reversal in the
rapprochement between China and the US, which we highly
doubt. In addition, seasonal factors are also temporarily
on the side of the bears, given the more than 40%
growth from the lows of the year in early April, the
suppressed volatility of the last month and a half,
and the tendency to look for new patterns in the markets
in the final months of the year. If that's not enough,
add to this the fact that the economy is beginning
to feel the effects of tariff wars and a deteriorating
labour market, and AI is no longer a novelty. In these
conditions, it will be increasingly difficult for
traders to find reasons for local purchases. (FxPro)
News
Crypto
market recovers from tariff shock
Market
Overview
The
crypto market capitalisation stood at $3.9 trillion
on Monday, up 4.4% from the previous day but down
6% from pre-Friday crash levels. On Friday, the US
stock market saw its biggest drop since April but
recovered some of its losses on Monday. Since Sunday,
the crypto market has been attempting to rebound after
a sell-off that began as an emotional reaction to
tariff initiatives by China and the US but escalated
into massive margin calls and stop orders being triggered.
The
sentiment index stood at 38 (fear) on Monday morning,
down from 24 (extreme fear) the day before. The level
of sentiment we saw over the weekend was last seen
in April under similar circumstances when tough
trade tariffs were announced.
Bitcoin
approached $115K on Monday, while Ethereum exceeded
$4,200. Cryptocurrencies are recovering after Friday's
sharp decline. The movement on Friday and in the early
hours of Saturday swept the weak hands
out of the market, taking the price of BTC below the
50and 200-day moving averages and below the
August and September lows.
Such
sweeping liquidations often set the bottom of the
market, but it may take time for the wounds to heal.
In 2020, 2021 and 2024, it took a couple of weeks
for the rally to start, although the market did not
rewrite the lows. But in 2022, the turnaround to growth
after the crash began after about six months. Relying
on these statistics is encouraging for bargain hunters
in crypto. Still, it would be too hasty to say that
the recovery will be just as quick and will begin
immediately.
News
Background
Wall
Street crashed on Friday after US President Donald
Trump escalated the trade conflict with China following
Beijing's tightening of restrictions on trade in rare
earth metals, Reuters reports. Cryptocurrencies and
stock indices fell sharply on Friday. Some softening
of tone from Trump and Xi has led to the probability
of 100% tariffs against China by 1 November being
estimated at 8% on Polymarket, down from 26% at the
end of Friday. Santiment notes that bitcoin remains
extremely sensitive to risk appetite and behaves more
like a risky asset than a safe haven.
The
Kobeissi Letter notes that the collapse of cryptocurrencies
on 11 October will not have long-term fundamental
consequences and was caused by a combination of technical
factors. The market crash triggered a record cascade
of liquidations worth $19.3 billion. Analyst Frank
Fetter, citing technical indicators, said the cryptocurrency
market is still far from overbought, which means there
is still potential for the rally to continue.
News
Flashback
Oil
Holds Strong Despite Bearish Fundamentals
Weekly
data from the EIA noted that the US returned to record
oil production rates last week, supplying an average
of 13.6 million barrels per day to the market, according
to the latest EIA data. The trend towards increased
supply began in August, but producers have only now
returned to the peak levels recorded at the end of
last year. Despite a 5.5-million-barrel increase in
US commercial inventories over the past two weeks,
inventories stay at the lower end of the range seen
over the past decade, leaving considerable room for
growth. The same can be said for the strategic reserve,
which holds nearly 40% less oil than it did five years
ago, before the start of the active sell-off. It is
an interesting game in which, on the one hand, the
US (the largest oil producer) is increasing supplies,
while OPEC+ is increasing quotas on a monthly basis.
This extremely bearish combination of factors did
not cause oil prices to collapse; it was only because
of global trade in currency depreciation that caused
precious metals, stock indices, and cryptocurrencies
to rise. Oil prices have not peaked in recent weeks
.. To be cont .. (FxPro)
News
Gold
hits new highs due to political turmoil
Gold
is outside the realm of politics.
While
currencies and securities depend on the actions of
presidents and governments, precious metals do not.
Therefore, political turmoil forces investors to use
them as safe-haven assets.
The
impressive 52% rally in gold started in April with
the introduction of tariffs on America's Liberation
Day. It continued due to the US government shutdown,
the political crisis in France, and the change of
leadership in Japan. he rise of gold above 4,000 dollars
per ounce is not only the result of the weakness of
fiat currencies. There are tectonic shifts in the
structure of investment portfolios and fears of financial
crises due to government recklessness.
The
share of precious metals is growing both in speculators'
assets and in the gold and foreign exchange reserves
of central banks. The indicator has already exceeded
the share of the euro. According to Eurizon Capital,
if it equals the share of the US dollar, the price
per ounce will soar to 8,500 dollars. The Supreme
Court's abolition of tariffs will inflate the US budget
deficit. France does not intend to reduce it, and
Japan plans to increase bond issuance. All this creates
a tailwind for commodity assets. (FxPro)
News
Politics
remains the main driver of FX
The
US government shutdown did not have a noticeable impact
on the dollar's performance last week. However, it
did help the stock market to grow slightly by strengthening
expectations of monetary policy easing. However, these
events pale in comparison to the change in Japan's
ruling elite and the resignation of the French prime
minister less than a day after the formation of the
government in terms of their impact on the currency
market. In Japan, Sanae Takaichi was chosen head of
the Liberal Democratic Party over the weekend and
is on track to become the country's first female prime
minister. This event caused the yen to fall 2% to
150.49 from Friday's level before correcting to 149.80
at the time of writing. Takaichi is considered a supporter
of aggressive government spending, structural reforms,
and soft monetary policy, echoing the basic principles
of Shinzo Abe. Overall, she has a more right-wing
approach to national policy and is also a supporter
of revising Japan's pacifist constitution. The market
reaction clearly shows that they are considering Takaichi
to be the new prime minister. If she does not change
her political views (and she has softened them recently
to win the party elections), we should be prepared
for a further weakening of the yen, which reached
its highest level since 1991 in the EURJPY pair, exceeding
176. However, the single currency is also facing uncertainty
today due to a new political crisis in France. Prime
Minister Lecornu, who had been trying to form a government
for a month, resigned the day after he finally presented
his new cabinet. His appointments drew criticism from
both left-wing and right-wing allies. The EURUSD fell
to 1.1650 at its lowest point on Monday, losing a
full cent against Friday's levels. Unlike Japan, where
a 2% drop in the JPY was accompanied by a 5% jump
in the Nikkei225 index, France's CAC40 lost more than
2% intraday, paring its losses to 1.2% towards the
end of the trading day in Europe. The EURUSD stopped
its climb in July and has been hovering around 1.1700
all this time, not least because of the political
crisis in France. Without it, the single currency
would have had a much better chance of exploiting
political divisions in the US to its advantage. It
would be an exaggeration to call the situation in
Japan and France a drama. Still, these events once
again emphasise that as soon as the dollar's throne
begin.
News
Pop
Culture News
Dream
Matches: Fantasy Booking/Sports; Media Man Group Dream
Match Series; Crack The Code!
Million
Dollar Man vs IRS
Michael Wall Street vs Billionaire Ted
Mr X vs Mr BTC
Mr Green vs Mr Cash
VKM vs Easy E
Vinnie Vegas vs Mr Corbin
Mr Corp Merch vs Mr Freelance
Masked Superstar vs John McAfee
Sid Justice vs Mr Blood Diamond
Mr Bluey Chipper vs Street Fighter - King Of The Streets
Mr Dotcom vs Mr Wiki
Mr Gold vs Mr Green - Money In The Bank Ladder Match
Khan vs Khan - Winner Take All Match
Mr Wolff vs The Cleaner
Mr News vs Mr Vice - U.S Market Footprint Stipulation
Mr Paramount vs Mr Netflix
Mr ESPN vs Mr Fox
Mr Kross vs Mr H
Cesaro vs Rollins
Dirty Dom vs Mr AAA
Punks vs Egos
Kross vs H
Murdoch Title vs Title
Mr Black Coffee vs Mr Claudio's Cafe Blend
Mr Warner vs Mr Netflix: Broadway draw thus far! Re-match!
Winner take all?!
TMZ vs Riddle UFC vs PFL
The Oracle vs Cincinnati, Ohio
Mr X vs Hollyweird
Succession vs Billions
Mouse House vs Art House
NFL vs UFL
ABC vs Mainstream Aussies
Reigns vs Blanka
Cody Rhodes vs Joe
E. Honda vs NJPW
Capcom vs Warner
Cena vs ACME
Combat Sports Players vs Father Time
NXT vs TNA Wrestling (Showdown, not Invasion)!
Alpha vs Meta
TED X vs The Others
WWE's Solo vs Western Australia
UFC Predator vs MMA Predator
Bulls vs Bears
News
Cryptocurrency
Movies
Documentaries
The
Rise and Rise of Bitcoin (2014)
Follows early Bitcoin adopter Daniel Mross, exploring
Bitcoins origins, its volatile rise, and the
community behind it. Great for understanding Bitcoins
early days and its potential to disrupt finance.
Banking
on Bitcoin (2016)
Examines Bitcoins history, ideological roots,
and impact on global financial systems through interviews
with pioneers and experts. A solid primer for newcomers.
Cryptopia:
Bitcoin, Blockchains, and the Future of the Internet
(2020)
Directed by Torsten Hoffmann, this documentary dives
into blockchains broader applications beyond
cryptocurrency, addressing scalability and regulatory
challenges. Ideal for those interested in blockchains
transformative potential.
Trust
Machine: The Story of Blockchain (2018) Narrated by
Rosario Dawson, it explores blockchains societal
impact, from financial inclusion to voting systems.
A comprehensive look at real-world applications.
Bitcoin:
The End of Money as We Know It (2015)
Traces the history of money and introduces Bitcoin
as a decentralized alternative, critiquing centralized
financial systems. Features interviews with crypto
experts.
Deep
Web (2015) Narrated by Keanu Reeves, this documentary
focuses on the Silk Road marketplace and its creator,
Ross Ulbricht, highlighting Bitcoins role in
dark web transactions.
Bitconned
(2024) Explores the Centra Tech crypto scam, detailing
how three individuals defrauded investors during the
2010s crypto boom. A cautionary tale about unregulated
markets.
Feature
Films
Crypto
(2019)
A crime thriller starring Beau Knapp, Luke Hemsworth,
and Kurt Russell. It follows a young anti-money laundering
agent investigating corruption and cryptocurrency
in his hometown. Critics note its exaggerated portrayal
but praise its entertainment value.
Silk
Road (2021)
A dramatization of Ross Ulbrichts creation of
the Silk Road, a dark web marketplace using Bitcoin.
It explores his rise and fall, blending crime and
drama.
Dope
(2015) A coming-of-age comedy-drama featuring Bitcoin
as a plot device. High schooler Malcolm uses Bitcoin
for a dark web transaction, reflecting its early association
with illicit activities.
Bonus
Mentions
Life
on Bitcoin (2014): Follows a couple attempting to
live solely on Bitcoin for 100 days, showcasing early
adoption challenges.
Bitcoin
Heist (2016): A Vietnamese action-comedy about hackers
chasing a crypto criminal, blending humor and thrills.
Notes
Documentaries are generally more educational, focusing
on Bitcoins history, blockchain technology,
and real-world implications. Theyre great for
beginners and enthusiasts alike.
Feature
films often dramatize cryptos association with
crime or scams, sometimes oversimplifying or exaggerating
for effect. They prioritize entertainment over accuracy.
For a deeper dive, check streaming platforms like
Prime Video, Fandango at Home, or YouTube, where many
of these are available.
News
Wall
Street (Movie)
Wall Street (1987), directed by Oliver Stone, is a
drama about ambition and greed in the 1980s financial
world. It follows Bud Fox (Charlie Sheen), a young
stockbroker desperate to succeed, who gets entangled
with Gordon Gekko (Michael Douglas), a ruthless corporate
raider. Gekkos mantra, Greed is good,
drives the story as Bud is lured into insider trading
and unethical deals, compromising his morals for wealth
and power.
The
film explores themes of capitalism, loyalty, and betrayal,
with Bud navigating pressures from Gekko, his father
(Martin Sheen), and his own conscience.
Key
Details: Cast: Michael Douglas (Gordon Gekko), Charlie
Sheen (Bud Fox), Daryl Hannah (Darien Taylor), Martin
Sheen (Carl Fox).
Runtime: 2h 6m.
Genre: Drama/Crime.
Rating: R. Box Office: ~$44 million (US).
Awards:
Michael Douglas won the Academy Award for Best Actor.
Notable
Aspects:
Gekkos
Greed is good speech is iconic, reflecting
1980s excess. Inspired by real-life figures like Ivan
Boesky and Michael Milken.
A
sequel, Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (2010), continued
the story.
Where
to Watch (as of 2025):
Streaming: Available on platforms like Peacock or
rentable on Amazon, YouTube, or Apple TV (check current
availability).
Physical: DVD/Blu-ray via retailers like Amazon.
News
Flashback
Gold,
copper, & silver:
How
metals are moving this year
Metal
futures have made some pretty dramatic moves lately
from safe haven gold to tariff sensitive copper. So
let's take a look at the longer term trends. I'm Jared
Blikre, host of Stocks in Translation. And I'm going
to start by charting some of the moves in Dr. Copper
because this is where we have the most zig and zags
over the last 25 years. So this goes back to the beginning
of the century and we can see right now, we're at
$5.51 per pound. That is a record high. But if we
go back to the beginning of the century, guess what?
Uh we had a little bit of a slump in the wake of the
dot com boom and then bust, but starting in 2003,
we saw a big rise there. And that was as China actually
joined the World Trade Organization or the WTO. That
lasted into the global financial crisis. Then we had
a pretty big bust in in Dr. Copper, and then we had
another rise. And that rise was due to unprecedented
stimulus, not only from the Chinese government, but
also from the United States government, QE was in
force, and then we saw kind of a strong dollar play.
That weighed on this metal all the way into the beginning
of 2016. The entire world, most of the world indices
went through a bear market in 2015, and then 2016,
we found the footing. And that was actually the year
that Trump won, began his first presidency. And from
there, we saw some zig and zags, and then we saw a
shock into the pandemic. A couple of, a couple of
years of deflation or a semi-deflation, disinflation,
that caught up with it in 2022, but then it was off
to the races again. And especially with the Trump
tariffs now on copper, threatening to be threatening
to be 50% on August 1st, we're seeing a lot of front
running in this trade. Now, I also want to show you
gold futures and I'm going to show you silver as well.
And they follow a very similar pattern. We're not
seeing the dramatic zig and zags that we did in copper,
but we did see the same pattern of China joining the
WTO, contributing to that huge rise in price to 1800,
almost $2,000 an ounce by the beginning of the global
financial crisis. So a little bit of a meltdown there.
But in 2016 into 2018, we saw a bit of a rise into
the pandemic, a little bit of a whipsaw there, and
consolidation over a few years. Again, that 2022 bare
market in US stocks that contributed to some deflation
and disinflation globally, supply chain chain shocks
came into force again, and then we saw this huge rise
beginning in late 2023, and we are now at 3353. We've
seen a high of as much as $3,500 per ounce. And gold
is kind of unique among the precious metals and also
the industrial metals, and this is because central
banks have been a huge determining force in their
buying of it. This is a bar chart that shows central
bank buying in tons going back all the way to 2010.
And what you notice here is the last three years,
2022, 2023, 2024, all of those had gold being bought
by central banks of in the amount of over 1,000 tons.
And so that's a pretty big dramatic increase from
the prior years. And this has to do with the ongoing
dedollarization in China, as well as Russia, but also
a host of other countries, even some in western and
eastern Europe. So this is a trend that we want to
follow. Uh, I want to close out here with silver,
and I'm going to just chart the price action. Again,
very similar chart to gold and copper in terms of
the big movements here. We saw a big price spike into
almost $50 per ounce, and that was just as the global
financial crisis was getting underway. And then the
QE area in 2011, that's when we saw that high. Then
we saw a dramatic, dramatic crash into 2016, kind
of found its footing, saw a big squeeze in the early
pandemic, 2020 was a great year for silver, but then
we saw a little bit of a fallout. And again, silver
is on the rise here at $38. It's still off of that
$50 record high, but it is increasing very quickly.
To round out the conversation, I want to just put
on a table here. I have all three medals and just
kind of grouping them together. I want to display
how they are moving with their specific patterns with
a trigger, and then to tell you which one of these
is featured in these specific criteria. So here, under
the pattern, we have acceleration. So that would be
an economic acceleration. The trigger would be liquidity.
And when that happens, we see all metals benefiting
from that. And then when there's a safe haven scare,
and that trigger would be a crisis of some sorts,
you're going to see gold and silver outperforming
the most, kind of leaving Dr. Copper behind. And then
here's a bearish one, industrial drags, that affects
copper disproportionately here, and the trigger there
is typically a stronger US dollar because the US dollar
surges when global global industrials tend to drag,
and that's because the US is the least dirty shirt
in the laundry basket of the world. And then finally
here, we have a policy shock. This will affect all
three medals, but especially copper and gold here.
Um, arguably, the biggest reason is tariffs and debt,
and we've seen both of those contribute to silver
rising. So we could put all three in that basket as
well. But when you put it all together, we have the
perfect explosive mix for all three of these metals,
including palladium and also platinum, which we didn't
get to have time for, but all of these are experiencing
huge thrust in 2025. And we'll have to see how these
tariffs play out, especially on Dr. Copper with respect
to that August 1st deadline. Remember, 50% there.
So tune into Stocks in Translation for more jargon
busting deep dives, new episodes on Tuesdays and Thursdays
on Yahoo Finances website, or wherever you find your
podcast. (Transcript from Yahoo! Finance podcast)
News
Best
Quotes
An
investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
Benjamin Franklin
"Bottoms
in the investment world don't end with four-year lows;
they end with 10- or 15-year lows." Jim
Rogers
Be
fearful when others are greedy and greedy only when
others are fearful." Warren Buffett
Media
Man "Bullish is a mindset"
Markets,
Crypto and Culture
Wednesday
Wonderings: Running Of The Bulls Weekend To Weak-ist
Start; Bulls Downhill Continue To Climb Back Up The
Mountain (Mainly) Mid Week Edition!
October
14/15, 2025
Sin
City Sydney, Australia
ASX
futures up 74 points/0.8%, at 8994
Wall
Street:
S&P 500 -0.2%
Dow Jones +0.4%
Nasdaq -0.8%
Europe:
Stoxx 50 -0.3%
FTSE +0.1%
DAX -0.6%
CAC -0.2%
Australian
dollar flat at US64.84¢
Bitcoin
-2.6% to $US112,817
Spot
gold +0.8% to $US4142.94 per ounce
US
oil -1.3% to $US58.70 a barrel
Brent
crude oil -1.1% to $US62.26 a barrel
Iron
ore -1.2% to $US105.25 per ton
10-year
yield:
US 4.03%
Australia 4.23%
Germany 2.61%
News Update: (Near Live)
Bitcoin:
New
York/Wall St
Cryptos
Today: (Near Live) Mood: Corrective! Moody!
Bitcoin
$113,474.79 -1.60%
Ethereum $4,138.04 -2.59%
Tether $1.0007 -0.02%
Binance Coin $1,219.35 -5.90%
XRP $2.5241 -3.55%
Solana $203.57 -2.72%
TRON $0.3175 -1.76%
Dogecoin $0.2058 -4.07%
Cardano $0.7011 - 4.02%
Market
corrective. Mood: Somber-like for many! Suspicious!
Regaining smiles! Hardcores keep the dream!
Media
Man Favs:
October
14, 2025 (Near Live)
Wall St, New York
TKO
Group Holdings Inc $189.97 +1.37 +0.73%
NVIDIA Corp $180.03 -8.29 -4.40%
Formula One Group Series C $103.72 -0.31 -0.30%
Alphabet Inc Class A $245.45 +1.30 +0.53%
News Corp Class A $26.64 +0.55 +2.11%
Netflix Inc $1,215.35 -3.68 -0.30%
Caterpillar Inc $527.47 +22.71 +4.50%
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp $16.28
-0.28 -1.69%
Tesla Inc $429.24 -6.66 -1.53%
Walt Disney Co $111.17 +0.90 +0.82%
Wynn Resorts Ltd $116.11 +3.59 +3.19%
Meta Platforms Inc $708.65 -7.05 -0.99%
BHP Group Ltd $43.18 +0.38 +0.90%
Mercedes Benz Group ADR $15.11 -0.28 -1.82%
Elders Ltd $7.57 -0.030 -0.39%
Rio Tinto Ltd $127.91 +0.48 +0.38%
News
The
US stock market rebound may falter
US
stock index futures are rising after a disastrous
Friday, when Trump's aggressive response to China's
tariffs shook the markets. The US president's announcements
were carefully timed, with the most aggressive measures
(additional 100% tariffs on Chinese goods) announced
after the market closed.
Over
the weekend, US and Chinese leaders appeared to reach
out to each other, offering opportunities for further
discussion and a deal. Market sentiment was close
to extreme fear, with the Fear and Greed Index falling
to 29 on Friday and recovering to 30 on Monday. These
are the lowest values since the end of April, when
the market was recovering from the liberation
day effect on Trump's tariffs. In the last couple
of years, this index has entered the extreme fear
zone before we saw a reversal in the indices. This
means that bears may exert another round of pressure
on the markets. It is easy to link this to further
toughening of mutual rhetoric between China and the
US, albeit with the possibility of dialogue remaining
open. In other words, in this case, it is worth talking
about a decrease in the intensity of mutual recriminations,
but not about a reversal in relations. From this,
we can conclude that the risks that caused the markets
to collapse on Friday remain. We also note that the
S&P 500 is trading at a significant distance from
its 200-week moving average, near which the market
has ended its declines over the past 14 years since
2011, touching it or turning around within 2-5% of
it. This contrasts sharply with the current situation,
where the S&P 500 is almost 25% above this line.
If we talk about a correction within a bull market,
then the target for bears seems to be the 61006150
range, where the 50-week moving average and last winter's
highs are concentrated. Movement in this direction
looks like a viable strategy for the final quarter
of the year, unless there is a real reversal in the
rapprochement between China and the US, which we highly
doubt. In addition, seasonal factors are also temporarily
on the side of the bears, given the more than 40%
growth from the lows of the year in early April, the
suppressed volatility of the last month and a half,
and the tendency to look for new patterns in the markets
in the final months of the year. If that's not enough,
add to this the fact that the economy is beginning
to feel the effects of tariff wars and a deteriorating
labour market, and AI is no longer a novelty. In these
conditions, it will be increasingly difficult for
traders to find reasons for local purchases. (FxPro)
News
Crypto
market recovers from tariff shock
Market
Overview
The
crypto market capitalisation stood at $3.9 trillion
on Monday, up 4.4% from the previous day but down
6% from pre-Friday crash levels. On Friday, the US
stock market saw its biggest drop since April but
recovered some of its losses on Monday. Since Sunday,
the crypto market has been attempting to rebound after
a sell-off that began as an emotional reaction to
tariff initiatives by China and the US but escalated
into massive margin calls and stop orders being triggered.
The
sentiment index stood at 38 (fear) on Monday morning,
down from 24 (extreme fear) the day before. The level
of sentiment we saw over the weekend was last seen
in April under similar circumstances when tough
trade tariffs were announced.
Bitcoin
approached $115K on Monday, while Ethereum exceeded
$4,200. Cryptocurrencies are recovering after Friday's
sharp decline. The movement on Friday and in the early
hours of Saturday swept the weak hands
out of the market, taking the price of BTC below the
50and 200-day moving averages and below the
August and September lows.
Such
sweeping liquidations often set the bottom of the
market, but it may take time for the wounds to heal.
In 2020, 2021 and 2024, it took a couple of weeks
for the rally to start, although the market did not
rewrite the lows. But in 2022, the turnaround to growth
after the crash began after about six months. Relying
on these statistics is encouraging for bargain hunters
in crypto. Still, it would be too hasty to say that
the recovery will be just as quick and will begin
immediately.
News
Background
Wall
Street crashed on Friday after US President Donald
Trump escalated the trade conflict with China following
Beijing's tightening of restrictions on trade in rare
earth metals, Reuters reports. Cryptocurrencies and
stock indices fell sharply on Friday. Some softening
of tone from Trump and Xi has led to the probability
of 100% tariffs against China by 1 November being
estimated at 8% on Polymarket, down from 26% at the
end of Friday. Santiment notes that bitcoin remains
extremely sensitive to risk appetite and behaves more
like a risky asset than a safe haven.
The
Kobeissi Letter notes that the collapse of cryptocurrencies
on 11 October will not have long-term fundamental
consequences and was caused by a combination of technical
factors. The market crash triggered a record cascade
of liquidations worth $19.3 billion. Analyst Frank
Fetter, citing technical indicators, said the cryptocurrency
market is still far from overbought, which means there
is still potential for the rally to continue.
News
Flashback
Oil
Holds Strong Despite Bearish Fundamentals
Weekly
data from the EIA noted that the US returned to record
oil production rates last week, supplying an average
of 13.6 million barrels per day to the market, according
to the latest EIA data. The trend towards increased
supply began in August, but producers have only now
returned to the peak levels recorded at the end of
last year. Despite a 5.5-million-barrel increase in
US commercial inventories over the past two weeks,
inventories stay at the lower end of the range seen
over the past decade, leaving considerable room for
growth. The same can be said for the strategic reserve,
which holds nearly 40% less oil than it did five years
ago, before the start of the active sell-off. It is
an interesting game in which, on the one hand, the
US (the largest oil producer) is increasing supplies,
while OPEC+ is increasing quotas on a monthly basis.
This extremely bearish combination of factors did
not cause oil prices to collapse; it was only because
of global trade in currency depreciation that caused
precious metals, stock indices, and cryptocurrencies
to rise. Oil prices have not peaked in recent weeks
.. To be cont .. (FxPro)
News
Gold
hits new highs due to political turmoil
Gold
is outside the realm of politics.
While
currencies and securities depend on the actions of
presidents and governments, precious metals do not.
Therefore, political turmoil forces investors to use
them as safe-haven assets.
The
impressive 52% rally in gold started in April with
the introduction of tariffs on America's Liberation
Day. It continued due to the US government shutdown,
the political crisis in France, and the change of
leadership in Japan. he rise of gold above 4,000 dollars
per ounce is not only the result of the weakness of
fiat currencies. There are tectonic shifts in the
structure of investment portfolios and fears of financial
crises due to government recklessness.
The
share of precious metals is growing both in speculators'
assets and in the gold and foreign exchange reserves
of central banks. The indicator has already exceeded
the share of the euro. According to Eurizon Capital,
if it equals the share of the US dollar, the price
per ounce will soar to 8,500 dollars. The Supreme
Court's abolition of tariffs will inflate the US budget
deficit. France does not intend to reduce it, and
Japan plans to increase bond issuance. All this creates
a tailwind for commodity assets. (FxPro)
News
Politics
remains the main driver of FX
The
US government shutdown did not have a noticeable impact
on the dollar's performance last week. However, it
did help the stock market to grow slightly by strengthening
expectations of monetary policy easing. However, these
events pale in comparison to the change in Japan's
ruling elite and the resignation of the French prime
minister less than a day after the formation of the
government in terms of their impact on the currency
market. In Japan, Sanae Takaichi was chosen head of
the Liberal Democratic Party over the weekend and
is on track to become the country's first female prime
minister. This event caused the yen to fall 2% to
150.49 from Friday's level before correcting to 149.80
at the time of writing. Takaichi is considered a supporter
of aggressive government spending, structural reforms,
and soft monetary policy, echoing the basic principles
of Shinzo Abe. Overall, she has a more right-wing
approach to national policy and is also a supporter
of revising Japan's pacifist constitution. The market
reaction clearly shows that they are considering Takaichi
to be the new prime minister. If she does not change
her political views (and she has softened them recently
to win the party elections), we should be prepared
for a further weakening of the yen, which reached
its highest level since 1991 in the EURJPY pair, exceeding
176. However, the single currency is also facing uncertainty
today due to a new political crisis in France. Prime
Minister Lecornu, who had been trying to form a government
for a month, resigned the day after he finally presented
his new cabinet. His appointments drew criticism from
both left-wing and right-wing allies. The EURUSD fell
to 1.1650 at its lowest point on Monday, losing a
full cent against Friday's levels. Unlike Japan, where
a 2% drop in the JPY was accompanied by a 5% jump
in the Nikkei225 index, France's CAC40 lost more than
2% intraday, paring its losses to 1.2% towards the
end of the trading day in Europe. The EURUSD stopped
its climb in July and has been hovering around 1.1700
all this time, not least because of the political
crisis in France. Without it, the single currency
would have had a much better chance of exploiting
political divisions in the US to its advantage. It
would be an exaggeration to call the situation in
Japan and France a drama. Still, these events once
again emphasise that as soon as the dollar's throne
begin.
News
Pop
Culture News
Dream
Matches: Fantasy Booking/Sports; Media Man Group Dream
Match Series; Crack The Code!
Million
Dollar Man vs IRS
Michael Wall Street vs Billionaire Ted
Mr X vs Mr BTC
Mr Green vs Mr Cash
VKM vs Easy E
Vinnie Vegas vs Mr Corbin
Mr Corp Merch vs Mr Freelance
Masked Superstar vs John McAfee
Sid Justice vs Mr Blood Diamond
Mr Bluey Chipper vs Street Fighter - King Of The Streets
Mr Dotcom vs Mr Wiki
Mr Gold vs Mr Green - Money In The Bank Ladder Match
Khan vs Khan - Winner Take All Match
Mr Wolff vs The Cleaner
Mr News vs Mr Vice - U.S Market Footprint Stipulation
Mr Paramount vs Mr Netflix
Mr ESPN vs Mr Fox
Mr Kross vs Mr H
Cesaro vs Rollins
Dirty Dom vs Mr AAA
Punks vs Egos
Kross vs H L.
Murdoch Title vs Title
Mr Black Coffee vs Mr Claudio's Cafe Blend
Mr Warner vs Mr Netflix: Broadway draw thus far! Re-match!
Winner take all?!
TMZ vs Riddle UFC vs PFL
The Oracle vs Cincinnati, Ohio
Mr X vs Hollyweird
Succession vs Billions
Mouse House vs Art House
NFL vs UFL
ABC vs Mainstream Aussies
Reigns vs Blanka
Cody Rhodes vs Joe
E. Honda vs NJPW
Capcom vs Warner
Cena vs ACME
Combat Sports Players vs Father Time
NXT vs TNA Wrestling (Showdown, not Invasion)!
Alpha vs Meta
TED X vs The Others
WWE's Solo vs Western Australia
UFC Predator vs MMA Predator
Bulls vs Bears
News
Cryptocurrency
Movies
Documentaries
The
Rise and Rise of Bitcoin (2014)
Follows early Bitcoin adopter Daniel Mross, exploring
Bitcoins origins, its volatile rise, and the
community behind it. Great for understanding Bitcoins
early days and its potential to disrupt finance.
Banking
on Bitcoin (2016)
Examines Bitcoins history, ideological roots,
and impact on global financial systems through interviews
with pioneers and experts. A solid primer for newcomers.
Cryptopia:
Bitcoin, Blockchains, and the Future of the Internet
(2020)
Directed by Torsten Hoffmann, this documentary dives
into blockchains broader applications beyond
cryptocurrency, addressing scalability and regulatory
challenges. Ideal for those interested in blockchains
transformative potential.
Trust
Machine: The Story of Blockchain (2018) Narrated by
Rosario Dawson, it explores blockchains societal
impact, from financial inclusion to voting systems.
A comprehensive look at real-world applications.
Bitcoin:
The End of Money as We Know It (2015)
Traces the history of money and introduces Bitcoin
as a decentralized alternative, critiquing centralized
financial systems. Features interviews with crypto
experts.
Deep
Web (2015) Narrated by Keanu Reeves, this documentary
focuses on the Silk Road marketplace and its creator,
Ross Ulbricht, highlighting Bitcoins role in
dark web transactions.
Bitconned
(2024) Explores the Centra Tech crypto scam, detailing
how three individuals defrauded investors during the
2010s crypto boom. A cautionary tale about unregulated
markets.
Feature
Films
Crypto
(2019)
A crime thriller starring Beau Knapp, Luke Hemsworth,
and Kurt Russell. It follows a young anti-money laundering
agent investigating corruption and cryptocurrency
in his hometown. Critics note its exaggerated portrayal
but praise its entertainment value.
Silk
Road (2021)
A dramatization of Ross Ulbrichts creation of
the Silk Road, a dark web marketplace using Bitcoin.
It explores his rise and fall, blending crime and
drama.
Dope
(2015) A coming-of-age comedy-drama featuring Bitcoin
as a plot device. High schooler Malcolm uses Bitcoin
for a dark web transaction, reflecting its early association
with illicit activities.
Bonus
Mentions
Life
on Bitcoin (2014): Follows a couple attempting to
live solely on Bitcoin for 100 days, showcasing early
adoption challenges.
Bitcoin
Heist (2016): A Vietnamese action-comedy about hackers
chasing a crypto criminal, blending humor and thrills.
Notes
Documentaries are generally more educational, focusing
on Bitcoins history, blockchain technology,
and real-world implications. Theyre great for
beginners and enthusiasts alike.
Feature
films often dramatize cryptos association with
crime or scams, sometimes oversimplifying or exaggerating
for effect. They prioritize entertainment over accuracy.
For a deeper dive, check streaming platforms like
Prime Video, Fandango at Home, or YouTube, where many
of these are available.
News
Wall
Street (Movie)
Wall Street (1987), directed by Oliver Stone, is a
drama about ambition and greed in the 1980s financial
world. It follows Bud Fox (Charlie Sheen), a young
stockbroker desperate to succeed, who gets entangled
with Gordon Gekko (Michael Douglas), a ruthless corporate
raider. Gekkos mantra, Greed is good,
drives the story as Bud is lured into insider trading
and unethical deals, compromising his morals for wealth
and power.
The
film explores themes of capitalism, loyalty, and betrayal,
with Bud navigating pressures from Gekko, his father
(Martin Sheen), and his own conscience.
Key
Details: Cast: Michael Douglas (Gordon Gekko), Charlie
Sheen (Bud Fox), Daryl Hannah (Darien Taylor), Martin
Sheen (Carl Fox).
Runtime: 2h 6m.
Genre: Drama/Crime.
Rating: R. Box Office: ~$44 million (US).
Awards:
Michael Douglas won the Academy Award for Best Actor.
Notable
Aspects:
Gekkos
Greed is good speech is iconic, reflecting
1980s excess. Inspired by real-life figures like Ivan
Boesky and Michael Milken.
A
sequel, Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (2010), continued
the story.
Where
to Watch (as of 2025):
Streaming: Available on platforms like Peacock or
rentable on Amazon, YouTube, or Apple TV (check current
availability).
Physical: DVD/Blu-ray via retailers like Amazon.
News
Flashback
Gold,
copper, & silver:
How
metals are moving this year
Metal
futures have made some pretty dramatic moves lately
from safe haven gold to tariff sensitive copper. So
let's take a look at the longer term trends. I'm Jared
Blikre, host of Stocks in Translation. And I'm going
to start by charting some of the moves in Dr. Copper
because this is where we have the most zig and zags
over the last 25 years. So this goes back to the beginning
of the century and we can see right now, we're at
$5.51 per pound. That is a record high. But if we
go back to the beginning of the century, guess what?
Uh we had a little bit of a slump in the wake of the
dot com boom and then bust, but starting in 2003,
we saw a big rise there. And that was as China actually
joined the World Trade Organization or the WTO. That
lasted into the global financial crisis. Then we had
a pretty big bust in in Dr. Copper, and then we had
another rise. And that rise was due to unprecedented
stimulus, not only from the Chinese government, but
also from the United States government, QE was in
force, and then we saw kind of a strong dollar play.
That weighed on this metal all the way into the beginning
of 2016. The entire world, most of the world indices
went through a bear market in 2015, and then 2016,
we found the footing. And that was actually the year
that Trump won, began his first presidency. And from
there, we saw some zig and zags, and then we saw a
shock into the pandemic. A couple of, a couple of
years of deflation or a semi-deflation, disinflation,
that caught up with it in 2022, but then it was off
to the races again. And especially with the Trump
tariffs now on copper, threatening to be threatening
to be 50% on August 1st, we're seeing a lot of front
running in this trade. Now, I also want to show you
gold futures and I'm going to show you silver as well.
And they follow a very similar pattern. We're not
seeing the dramatic zig and zags that we did in copper,
but we did see the same pattern of China joining the
WTO, contributing to that huge rise in price to 1800,
almost $2,000 an ounce by the beginning of the global
financial crisis. So a little bit of a meltdown there.
But in 2016 into 2018, we saw a bit of a rise into
the pandemic, a little bit of a whipsaw there, and
consolidation over a few years. Again, that 2022 bare
market in US stocks that contributed to some deflation
and disinflation globally, supply chain chain shocks
came into force again, and then we saw this huge rise
beginning in late 2023, and we are now at 3353. We've
seen a high of as much as $3,500 per ounce. And gold
is kind of unique among the precious metals and also
the industrial metals, and this is because central
banks have been a huge determining force in their
buying of it. This is a bar chart that shows central
bank buying in tons going back all the way to 2010.
And what you notice here is the last three years,
2022, 2023, 2024, all of those had gold being bought
by central banks of in the amount of over 1,000 tons.
And so that's a pretty big dramatic increase from
the prior years. And this has to do with the ongoing
dedollarization in China, as well as Russia, but also
a host of other countries, even some in western and
eastern Europe. So this is a trend that we want to
follow. Uh, I want to close out here with silver,
and I'm going to just chart the price action. Again,
very similar chart to gold and copper in terms of
the big movements here. We saw a big price spike into
almost $50 per ounce, and that was just as the global
financial crisis was getting underway. And then the
QE area in 2011, that's when we saw that high. Then
we saw a dramatic, dramatic crash into 2016, kind
of found its footing, saw a big squeeze in the early
pandemic, 2020 was a great year for silver, but then
we saw a little bit of a fallout. And again, silver
is on the rise here at $38. It's still off of that
$50 record high, but it is increasing very quickly.
To round out the conversation, I want to just put
on a table here. I have all three medals and just
kind of grouping them together. I want to display
how they are moving with their specific patterns with
a trigger, and then to tell you which one of these
is featured in these specific criteria. So here, under
the pattern, we have acceleration. So that would be
an economic acceleration. The trigger would be liquidity.
And when that happens, we see all metals benefiting
from that. And then when there's a safe haven scare,
and that trigger would be a crisis of some sorts,
you're going to see gold and silver outperforming
the most, kind of leaving Dr. Copper behind. And then
here's a bearish one, industrial drags, that affects
copper disproportionately here, and the trigger there
is typically a stronger US dollar because the US dollar
surges when global global industrials tend to drag,
and that's because the US is the least dirty shirt
in the laundry basket of the world. And then finally
here, we have a policy shock. This will affect all
three medals, but especially copper and gold here.
Um, arguably, the biggest reason is tariffs and debt,
and we've seen both of those contribute to silver
rising. So we could put all three in that basket as
well. But when you put it all together, we have the
perfect explosive mix for all three of these metals,
including palladium and also platinum, which we didn't
get to have time for, but all of these are experiencing
huge thrust in 2025. And we'll have to see how these
tariffs play out, especially on Dr. Copper with respect
to that August 1st deadline. Remember, 50% there.
So tune into Stocks in Translation for more jargon
busting deep dives, new episodes on Tuesdays and Thursdays
on Yahoo Finances website, or wherever you find your
podcast. (Transcript from Yahoo! Finance podcast)
News
Best
Quotes
An
investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
Benjamin Franklin
"Bottoms
in the investment world don't end with four-year lows;
they end with 10- or 15-year lows." Jim
Rogers
Be
fearful when others are greedy and greedy only when
others are fearful." Warren Buffett
Media
Man "Bullish is a mindset"
Markets,
Crypto and Culture
August
13, 2025
Sydney,
Australia
Markets
ASX
futures up 20 points/0.2% to 8858
Australian
dollar -0.1% to 65.27 US cents
Wall
Street:
S&P 500 +1.1%
Dow Jones +1.1%
Nasdaq +1.4%
Europe:
Stoxx 50 +0.1%
FTSE +0.2%
DAX -0.2%
CAC +0.7%
Bitcoin
+1% to $US120,008
Gold
+0.2% to $US3348.26 per ounce
US
oil -1.3% to $US63.11 a barrel
Brent
crude oil -0.8% to $US66.12 a barrel
Iron
ore +0.9% to $US104.40 per ton
10-year
yield:
US 4.29%
Australia 4.24%
Germany 2.74%
News
Cryptos
Today: (Near Live)
Bitcoin
$119,583.76 USD +0.87%
Ethereum $4,564.07 USD +8.51%
Tether $0.9993 USD -0.03%
XRP $3.26 USD +4.27%
BNB $832.17 USD +4.08%
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